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Individual-level variations

Individual level

First we diagnose if duration and growth are different between treatment and environmental contexts.

Using sugar maple as example.

## Linear mixed model fit by REML. t-tests use Satterthwaite's method [
## lmerModLmerTest]
## Formula: value ~ model + (1 | heat_name)
##    Data: df
## 
## REML criterion at convergence: 6497.1
## 
## Scaled residuals: 
##     Min      1Q  Median      3Q     Max 
## -2.0857 -0.6922 -0.1028  0.5607  2.9699 
## 
## Random effects:
##  Groups    Name        Variance Std.Dev.
##  heat_name (Intercept)   2.219   1.489  
##  Residual              142.071  11.919  
## Number of obs: 834, groups:  heat_name, 3
## 
## Fixed effects:
##                                      Estimate Std. Error       df t value
## (Intercept)                           32.9332     1.1688   4.5159  28.177
## modelclosed canopy, ambient rainfall  -6.6558     1.0022 829.2760  -6.641
## modelopen canopy, reduced rainfall    -0.5412     1.1148 829.5223  -0.485
##                                      Pr(>|t|)    
## (Intercept)                          3.00e-06 ***
## modelclosed canopy, ambient rainfall 5.63e-11 ***
## modelopen canopy, reduced rainfall      0.627    
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## Correlation of Fixed Effects:
##             (Intr) mcn,ar
## mdlccnpy,ar -0.535       
## mdlpcnpy,rr -0.481  0.561

Using white spruce as example.

## Linear mixed model fit by REML. t-tests use Satterthwaite's method [
## lmerModLmerTest]
## Formula: value ~ model + (1 | heat_name)
##    Data: df
## 
## REML criterion at convergence: 4700.4
## 
## Scaled residuals: 
##      Min       1Q   Median       3Q      Max 
## -1.99929 -0.79442 -0.09612  0.64256  2.94494 
## 
## Random effects:
##  Groups    Name        Variance Std.Dev.
##  heat_name (Intercept)   6.008   2.451  
##  Residual              282.388  16.804  
## Number of obs: 555, groups:  heat_name, 3
## 
## Fixed effects:
##                                      Estimate Std. Error      df t value
## (Intercept)                            42.228      1.868   3.888  22.604
## modelclosed canopy, ambient rainfall   -2.699      1.749 550.286  -1.544
## modelopen canopy, reduced rainfall      4.833      1.737 550.377   2.783
##                                      Pr(>|t|)    
## (Intercept)                          2.86e-05 ***
## modelclosed canopy, ambient rainfall  0.12326    
## modelopen canopy, reduced rainfall    0.00557 ** 
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## Correlation of Fixed Effects:
##             (Intr) mcn,ar
## mdlccnpy,ar -0.455       
## mdlpcnpy,rr -0.459  0.489

In both species, duration tends to be shorter in closed canopy, in addition to the effects of warming. This means we need to control for both warming treatment and environmental context when we look at the individual-level covariation of growth parameters.

Site-year level